While semiconductor ETFs SOXX and DRAM have experienced significant declines from their highs, the article argues that the Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) is a better long-term investment choice. VGT offers broader tech sector exposure including AI infrastructure and software, lower fees (0.09% vs 0.65%), and more diversification across 314+ holdings compared to DRAM's concentrated bet on three memory chip stocks. The author suggests pairing VGT with individual international semiconductor holdings for customized exposure.
SOXXETF
iShares Semiconductor ETF · NASDAQ
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19 latestAn analysis of the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), a smart beta ETF with $39.75 billion in assets that tracks the PHLX SOX Semiconductor Sector Index. SOXX has gained 58.23% year-to-date and 67.86% over the last 12 months as of 10/23/2026, but carries high risk with a beta of 1.80 and standard deviation of 39.43%. The article also discusses alternative semiconductor ETFs including SOXQ and SMH.
The article compares two technology ETFs: XLK (State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF) and SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF). XLK offers broader diversification with 75 holdings, lower fees (0.08% expense ratio), higher dividend yield, and lower volatility, making it more attractive for conservative investors.
SOXX provides concentrated semiconductor exposure with 30 holdings and delivered superior 1-year returns of 79.5% but carries higher volatility and fees (0.33% expense ratio). The author recommends XLK for its diversification and stability despite SOXX's stronger recent performance.
The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) outperforms the Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF (CHAT) with a 93.4% one-year return versus 53.8%, while maintaining a lower 0.33% expense ratio compared to CHAT's 0.75%. Though CHAT offers higher dividend yield (1.9% vs 0.2%) and broader diversification with 52 holdings, the article concludes SOXX is the better choice due to superior returns and significantly lower fees.
The First Trust NASDAQ Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) is a smart beta ETF with $1.35 billion in assets that tracks the Nasdaq US Smart Semiconductor Index. With a 0.60% expense ratio and strong year-to-date performance of 91.89%, it offers concentrated exposure to semiconductor companies but carries higher volatility (beta of 1.75) compared to alternatives like SOXX and SMH, which have lower expense ratios and significantly larger asset bases.
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Samsung projects record Q3 2026 earnings with 126.5% revenue growth and 782.3% operating profit growth, driven by surging AI infrastructure demand for memory chips. However, moderating price increases pose sustainability risks for the sector's profit growth.
Despite a recent 12% pullback in semiconductor stocks due to rising rate concerns, analysts believe the sector's underlying fundamentals remain strong. AI demand, long-term customer contracts, and major hyperscaler spending on AI infrastructure are expected to drive semiconductor revenue growth to $1.94 trillion by 2027. Key players like Micron, Broadcom, and ASML show positive indicators for continued industry investment.
Despite recent market weakness driven by higher interest rates, energy prices, and AI sector volatility, technical indicators suggest a potential year-end rally. Improving market breadth, gap-filling patterns, hammer candles signaling seller exhaustion, extreme fear sentiment, and strong Q4 seasonality point to a market bottom and recovery opportunity.
Memory chip stocks including Micron, SanDisk, and SK Hynix fell sharply in October due to China's ChangXin Memory Technologies announcing a major technological breakthrough and the end of Samsung and SK Hynix buyback programs. Meanwhile, neocloud infrastructure providers like CoreWeave faced debt concerns with borrowing costs spiking, though NVIDIA CEO reassured investors. The semiconductor sector experienced its longest losing streak since 2010, but historical data suggests a rebound is likely.
CNBC's Jim Cramer recommends focusing on established technology companies with multiple AI monetization pathways rather than speculative plays. He highlights Meta and Microsoft as preferred AI investments, favors cybersecurity stocks like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks, and sees semiconductor opportunities in AMD, Intel, and Marvell Technology. Cramer emphasizes diversification through ETFs to mitigate valuation risks while capitalizing on AI-driven growth.
Tesla and SpaceX plan to build Terafab, a $16.8 billion chip-making complex in Texas spanning over 100 million square feet, with manufacturing expected to begin by 2029. Intel will design and manufacture chips using its 14A process, while Musk confirmed Tesla and SpaceX will build and operate the facility themselves. Investors can position for the buildout through chip equipment makers, packaging/testing companies, materials suppliers, power infrastructure providers, and semiconductor ETFs.
The Nasdaq Composite reached a record high, rising 1.05% on October 5 and 0.45% on October 6 to close at 27,599.79, driven by strong performance in AI and technology stocks. Despite elevated Treasury yields at 5.34%, investors remain focused on AI infrastructure demand and earnings growth.
Major contributors included Tesla, SpaceX, Meta, Microsoft, Marvell Technology, AMD, Broadcom, and Nvidia, which reached a $6 trillion market cap. Lower oil prices also provided relief to equity investors.
The Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) offers broad exposure to the semiconductor sector with $3.04 billion in assets and a 0.56% expense ratio. The fund has delivered strong performance with 101.48% gains over the past year, but carries high risk with a beta of 1.80 and 42.98% standard deviation. Top holdings include Intel, Micron Technology, and KLA Corp, with the fund receiving a Zacks ETF Rank of 2 (Buy).
Despite growing AI safety concerns from OpenAI and Anthropic, analysts remain optimistic about AI's long-term potential. Rather than making an all-or-nothing bet on AI, investors can use a core-satellite portfolio strategy—combining diversified, stable core holdings with targeted satellite allocations to AI and tech ETFs—to gain measured exposure while maintaining portfolio diversification.
XSD, a semiconductor-focused ETF with $3.08 billion in assets, has delivered strong performance with 64.99% gains year-to-date and 67.94% over the past year. However, it carries high risk with a beta of 2.01 and 41.02% standard deviation. The fund offers low expenses at 0.35% and tracks a modified equal-weight semiconductor index with 48 holdings concentrated in technology.
Michael Burry, famous for predicting the 2008 housing crash, has intensified his bearish stance on AI stocks, warning that 'the bubble in AI may burst sooner than later.' He has shifted from short positions to put options with shorter timeframes on several AI-related stocks and semiconductors, betting on a near-term decline. While acknowledging Burry's track record, the article suggests long-term investors should remain focused on AI's fundamental growth story and potential buying opportunities if a crash occurs.
AMD is acquiring Fei-Fei Li's World Labs for $8.2 billion to strengthen its position in physical AI and spatial computing. While this is a positive long-term move for AMD, NVIDIA remains the more compelling investment today due to superior valuation metrics, stronger growth rates, and substantial analyst upside potential. NVIDIA trades at 18.7x forward earnings versus AMD's 55.6x, with NVIDIA showing 90% earnings growth versus AMD's 58.33%.
AMD announced an $8.2 billion all-stock acquisition of AI research firm World Labs, bringing renowned AI researcher Fei-Fei Li to the company. The deal aims to advance AMD's capabilities in world models and spatial intelligence to compete with NVIDIA in AI infrastructure.
While the acquisition reflects industry-wide momentum toward physical AI and robotics, AMD shares fell 3.6% due to dilution concerns and limited near-term revenue impact. Investors may consider semiconductor ETFs for diversified exposure to AMD and the broader AI ecosystem.
The author recommends the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) as the single best ETF to add to a portfolio, citing the continued runway of the AI boom and strong growth prospects of its top holdings. Despite a high P/E ratio of 41, the ETF's major components like Nvidia and TSMC are expected to deliver substantial revenue growth, making it an attractive high-growth investment opportunity.
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