The article explains how to identify stocks poised for positive earnings surprises using the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) tool, which compares the most recent analyst estimates against consensus estimates. When combined with a Zacks Rank #3 or better, stocks with positive ESP have historically produced positive surprises 70% of the time with 28.3% average annual returns. Two finance stocks highlighted as examples are Healthpeak (DOC) and Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR), both with positive ESP figures ahead of their November earnings reports.
VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. Class A · NASDAQ
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News ›Zacks highlights the Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) system for identifying stocks likely to beat quarterly earnings expectations. The article examines two finance stocks with positive ESP figures: Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) with a +0.97% ESP and Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), and HCI Group (HCI) with a +35.40% ESP and Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), both reporting earnings on November 5, 2026.
Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR), an investment management firm, has demonstrated a strong earnings-beat streak with an average surprise of 16.20% over the last two quarters. The company's positive Earnings ESP of +0.97% combined with its Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) suggests a high probability of another earnings beat, with historical data showing stocks with this combination beat consensus estimates nearly 70% of the time.
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