JOBY

Archer Aviation, an eVTOL aircraft developer, has seen its stock fall from $9.90 to under $4 per share since its 2021 SPAC merger. Despite trailing competitor Joby Aviation in FAA certification and facing legal disputes, analysts project significant revenue growth through 2028. If the company achieves its milestones and maintains 20% revenue growth through 2030, its market cap could rise nearly fivefold to $14.6 billion, making it a potential multibagger—though it risks falling further if it misses near-term goals.

Both Archer Aviation and Joby Aviation are unprofitable eVTOL companies burning through significant cash while awaiting FAA certification. Joby has a higher market valuation ($4.7B vs $3.1B) and more cash reserves, but also generates some revenue from its Blade Air Mobility acquisition. The author recommends Archer as the better buy due to its lower valuation, despite both stocks being highly risky investments with considerable downside potential.

Joby Aviation is developing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for commercial passenger services. The article projects that if Joby achieves its production targets of 500 aircraft annually and operates 2,500 eVTOLs by 2036, a $5,000 investment today could grow to approximately $11,250. However, significant risks remain including certification requirements, operational uncertainties, and potential pricing pressures.